22/08/2010
Saudi petrochemical industry forecast to outperform global rivals
Saudi Arabia's petrochemical industry, which will account for 10 percent of the global capacity by 2014, is expected to outperform its global rivals, according to a report.
Al-Rajhi Capital, the investment banking subsidiary of Saudi Arabia's Al-Rajhi Bank, announced on Saturday that the firm has issued a comprehensive report on the Saudi Arabian petrochemicals sector.
The 70-page report, entitled "Advantage Saudi Arabia", initiates coverage of the Saudi Arabian petrochemicals sector and includes five companies i.e. SABIC, Sipchem, Saudi Kayan, Yansab and Petro Rabigh. The report provides detailed analysis of strategic prospects for the sector over the next decade, and concludes that numerous strategies are transforming the Saudi petrochemical sector into a formidable force.
The report notes that the world's lowest input costs have placed Saudi petrochemicals suppliers in an enviable position and are helping them capture global market share. The shift currently taking place to heavier and more expensive feedstocks will result in slightly higher input costs but this should not greatly harm the competitiveness of the sector.
The report further notes that China is the primary force driving global petrochemicals demand, and that Asia including China is already the key market for the Saudi petrochemicals industry. The Middle East is investing heavily in new petrochemicals capacity, and Saudi Arabia alone should account for over 10 percent of global capacity by 2014. This wave of new investment should help the Saudi petrochemicals suppliers to strengthen their position in Asia further.
The report also highlights the importance of the petrochemicals sector in the Saudi stock market. The sector accounts for five percent of Saudi GDP but for 34 percent of the value of the stock market, while SABIC alone represents 22 percent of the TASI. From a portfolio management perspective, this makes it hard to bet against the sector.
Among the five companies analysed in detail, the report emphasises SABIC's wide business mix, its low-cost production and its strategy of high investment. It also highlights Sipchem's focus on methanol products and gearing to Asia, which in combination give it strong recovery potential. Al-Rajhi Capital rates both companies as "overweight".
